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Frontrunners first, with this season's prizes

The contenders

  1. 1

    Martin McDonagh

    Frontrunner
    Wild Horse Nine · Searchlight Pictures · Out Nov 6, 2026

    NBP 17/17 nominate and 17/17 to win. Variety's predicted winner.

  2. 2
    The Debut · A24 · Out Dec 11, 2026

    NBP 16/17 nominate. Variety No. 5.

  3. 3
    Fjord · Neon · Out Oct 9, 2026
    • Cannes: Palme d'Or

    NBP 12/17 nominate. Variety No. 4.

  4. 4

    Curry Barker

    Contender
    Obsession · Focus Features · Released May 15, 2026

    NBP 10/17 nominate. Awards Daily No. 2.

  5. 5
    Club Kid · A24 · Out Nov 6, 2026

    NBP 9/17 nominate. Awards Daily No. 3.

  6. 6

    Mike Leigh

    Contender
    Tender Loving Care · Bleecker Street · Out Dec 4, 2026

    Variety No. 2.

  7. 7

    Peter Gamble

    Contender
    I Play Rocky · Amazon MGM Studios · Out Nov 6, 2026

    Variety No. 3, Awards Daily No. 4.

  8. 8

    Tony Gilroy

    Longshot
    Behemoth! · Searchlight Pictures · Out Dec 4, 2026

    Writer-director; NYFF centerpiece.

Precursor record

What usually predicts this one

Every category

No precursor history for Best Original Screenplay yet. The scorecard covers Picture, Director and the four acting races.

The Oscar record

The last 10 winners

Every year
  1. 2026
    Written by Ryan Coogler
    Sinners
  2. 2025
    Written by Sean Baker
    Anora
  3. 2024
    Screenplay - Justine Triet and Arthur Harari
    Anatomy of a Fall
  4. 2023
    Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
    Everything Everywhere All at Once
  5. 2022
    Written by Kenneth Branagh
    Belfast
  6. 2021
    Written by Emerald Fennell
    Promising Young Woman
  7. 2020
    Screenplay by Bong Joon Ho, Han Jin Won; Story by Bong Joon Ho
    Parasite
  8. 2019
    Written by Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
    Green Book
  9. 2018
    Written by Jordan Peele
    Get Out
  10. 2017
    Written by Kenneth Lonergan
    Manchester by the Sea
Shows that bear on this race

Key dates

  1. Sep 30Done
    Oscars
    Oscars International Feature submission deadline
  2. Nov 12In 36 days
    Oscars
    Oscars final general entry deadline
  3. Nov 15In 39 days
    Oscars
    Governors Awards
  4. Dec 4In 58 days
    Critics Choice
    32nd Critics Choice Awards nominations
  5. Dec 7In 61 days
    Globes
    84th Golden Globes nominations
  6. Dec 15In 69 days
    Oscars
    Oscars shortlists announced
  7. Jan 3In 88 days
    Critics Choice
    32nd Critics Choice Awards
  8. Jan 7In 92 days
    BAFTA
    80th BAFTA Film Awards longlists
  9. Jan 8In 93 days
    WGA
    79th Writers Guild Awards screenplay nominations
  10. Jan 10In 95 days
    Globes
    84th Golden Globes
  11. Jan 19In 104 days
    BAFTA
    80th BAFTA Film Awards nominations
  12. Jan 21In 106 days
    Oscars
    99th Academy Awards nominations
  13. Feb 13In 129 days
    WGA
    79th Writers Guild Awards
  14. Feb 16In 132 days
    Oscars
    Oscar nominees luncheon
  15. Feb 21In 137 days
    BAFTA
    80th BAFTA Film Awards
  16. Feb 25In 141 days
    Oscars
    Oscar final voting opens (closes Mar 4)
  17. Mar 14In 158 days
    Oscars
    99th Academy Awards
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On Best Original Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay race: 99th Academy Awards | Cinemuse