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99th Academy Awards season

Predict

Wide releases, next four weeks

Opening weekend calls

Locks Thu, Jan 21, 8:00 AM ET

Who gets nominated

How scoring works

Who wins: ten confidence dots

All dots on the winner scores 100. All dots on one loser scores 0. Each dot off the winner costs a little, and stacking dots on one wrong nominee costs the most. The rule is 100 × (1 − Brier ÷ 2).

Your dotsPoints
10 on the winner100
7 on the winner, 3 on another91
5 and 575
2 on each of five nominees60
3 on the winner, 7 on another51
10 on a nominee who loses0

Who gets nominated

Correct picks out of the category's slots, times 100. Three of five is 60. Ballots lock just before the nominations are read.

Opening Weekend Call

Give a low and a high you are 80% sure the domestic Friday to Sunday gross lands between. Every 1% of width costs about half a point. Every 1% the actual lands outside costs about 5. Calls lock at 11:59 p.m. Eastern the night before release.

Your range, actual $100MPoints
$95M to $105M95
$90M to $110M90
$75M to $125M74
$110M to $130M, missed by 10%44
$60M to $80M, missed by 25%0